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Best NFL Offseason Moves: Which Teams Moved the Needle According to the Numbers

The NFL offseason has it all: trades, free agent signings, retirements, the draft, and even new cities and stadiums. With so many things changing, it is difficult to tell (outside of the obvious) which teams got better and which got worse. Building on the previous work done to calculate NFL power rankings, we can use …

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2020 NFL Power Rankings: What the Odds are Telling Us

PointsBet Sportsbook has released point spreads on (almost) every single 2020 NFL regular season game. Using the point spreads from each game, we can use the Simple Rating System (SRS) to calculate power rankings for each team. The power rankings (“Rating” above) represents the point differential each team would have if they faced an average …

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The Most Over and Under Rated College Football Teams of 2019 (According to Vegas)

The 2019 college football regular season has come and gone. We know who the top teams are according to the College Football Playoff committee, but which teams over and under performed relative to expectations? To answer this question, we can look at closing spreads from the betting markets. Closing lines are considered to be the …

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